In April 1993 Barney Oldfield suddenly
surfaced and thus began a lengthy correspondence which ended up with his
book King of the Seven Dwarfs, published in 1996 by the IEEE Computer
Society Press.
It all began when Barney wrote an article
for the Annuals of Computer
History to "correct" my article -to, among other things,
to refute my statement that he had been fired. He maintains that he
resigned for "personal reasons". The book evolved as he got
deeper and deeper into the story.
I wrote him some one hundred letters during
the course of the project. About
25% of them are reproduced here. Most
of them were in response to questions from Barney and reading them may
be somewhat like listening to one end of a telephone conversation but I
have included only those that more or less stand on their own.
I have not included Barney's letters principally as a matter of
privacy but also because I could not easily match them with my replies
and I had not saved all of them.
I disagreed with both premises of Barney's
book:
1.
that GE's efforts in the computer business were a failure and
2.
that GE's management philosophy was to blame.
My
efforts to persuade him in these matters had only minor success. (The
final book was toned done considerably from the first draft. His
negative interpretations of events was more indicative of one who had
been fired - not one who had resigned for personal reasons)
GE’s SPECTACULAR
SUCCESS DURING THE LAST HALF OF THE 20th CENTURY IS
SUFFICIENT EVIDENCE OF THE EFFICACY OF GE’s MANAGEMENT PHILOSOPHY
(I hope that those who think otherwise were
not "short sellers" of GE stock during this period)
***
GEORGE E.
& HOANG K. SNIVELY
1906 E.
Hearn Rd.
Phoenix, AZ
85022
Phone/FAX
602/992-0294
April 22, 1993
Homer R. "Barney" Oldfield, Jr.
716 Wood Lane
Sarasota, FL 34237
Dear Barney
George Trotter called me last night with news of your address. It may surprise you to know that you have been the object of
a wide search. WGBH TV, the
Boston based PBS station, wanted to interview you concerning ERMA for
their series on the computer, called "the
machine that changed the world".
They had planned an extensive piece on ERMA and the early GE
efforts but couldn't find you and both Clair Lasher and Al Zipf were too
ill at that time to journey to Boston and appear on camera.
Footage of me (as a last
resort) telling the story of the Computer Department was left on the
cutting room floor for lack of corroborating evidence and other visual
material. (The series was
driven by the availability of visuals - i.e. Echert and Mauchlay's home
movies of UNIVAC got considerable play, while Von Neumann received minimal
voice-over comment with only his photograph on camera.)
There are any number of people who would like to get in touch with
you. Nate Norris
advises that he has sent you a copy of the Computer Department alumni list
and tells me that you have been in contact with Bob Johnson.
Clair Lasher and Ray Barclay, in particular, would like to hear
from you.
Best regards,
cc: Ray Barclay
Clair
Lasher
(Barney's
phone number 813/955-0598)
***
May 8, 1993
Dear Barney,
Today I received your letter of May 5 with the April 25th
letter enclosed.
You ask so many questions, I hardly know where to start. So I will
just start - and ramble.
First, my "tall tales" was not meant to be a spoof - but
a memorial to you. My guess
is that less then half a dozen people in the audience of approximately one
hundred Computer Department Alumni had ever heard of you.
I didn't want you and your efforts to be forgotten and didn't know
that you were still alive and well and able to speak for yourself.
(We couldn't even find a picture of you for WGBH.)
My old memory may have been faulty, but it is the story as I
remember it. (Some of
the episodes were as reported to me by Russ Krapf and Ken McCombs.
The later was admittedly not a very good reporter.)
As you know, history fades into myth and then myth becomes history.
I stayed until August 1967. At
that time there had been roughly 500 people at sub-section level and
above. Approximately 80 were
still in place. Of the
remaining 420, a number resigned, one (I can't remember who,) was
promoted, one (me) stayed at the same level throughout the whole period
and the balance were either fired or demoted.
It seemed time to leave.
Lasher, of course, succeeded you - but as "Acting" and I
don't know that he ever was made permanent. Ray Barclay and Ken McCombs
stayed until Van Aken fired them both.
Ken Gieser (now deceased) was shunted aside and down.
He stayed through the Honeywell merger - ending up as the
"Major Domo" to entertain visiting dignitaries.
Art Newman (still living) was demoted several times - when I left
he was in charge of the employee store.
I thought that Herb Grosch left on your watch.
I distinctly remember you billing IBM for his unpaid expense
accounts and for his carpeting.
I don't recall how long Bob Johnson stayed.
You have Ray Barclay's address.
Ken McCombs has disappeared. Ray
stopped by to see me several years ago, principally to see if I could
enlighten him as to why Van had fired him - I couldn't.
The
replacements for Ray Barclay and Ken McCombs were both excellent choices.
Cy Statt, whom you may remember from GED in Syracuse, as
Manager-Manufacturing and Gil Gillespie from Financial Services as
Manager-Finance.
The
confusion over the number of ERMA systems is probably due to the
"commercial" version being referred to as the GE110.
Someone in the GE Alumni group (Vern Schatz I believe) has a
listing by serial number and customer.
65 is a believable number. Security
Pacific Bank alone ordered 10 and I believe took delivery on all of them.
NCR
was not able to market the 304 successfully.
It is surprising, but as I understand it, in addition to the
machine's costliness NCR did not thoroughly understand the department
store application that was supposed to be their strength.
It was also likely that IBM was too entrenched in the data
processing function. Only
a very limited number were sold.
There were also extreme corporate culture differences in the
manufacturing area between GE and NCR.
Helmet
Sassenfeld, one of Von Braun's people, succeeded Herb Grosch at the ASU
Computer Center. The
Huntsville project was ultimately lost but Helmut built a nationwide
network of computer service bureaus.
It became a very large and profitable time-sharing network, which
GE kept in the merger with Honeywell.
As far as I know it is still a large operating network.
(Unless the PC's have greatly impacted it).
I'm surprised that Reg Jones stated that all 14 years of the
Computer Department were a loss.
I was under the impression that he was the only one besides Gerald
Phillippi who understood the bookkeeping where the greater the success in
a rental business, under GE's bookkeeping policies, the greater the
"book loss" (or tax shelter).
The principal problem with the Computer Department was that no one
understood the financial statements. I will prepare an appendix of explanation.
Lasher was a planner. His
first inclination, after he got the "Big Look" approved was to
recognize that it was out of date and to start re-planning.
It didn't seem to occur to him to implement. (He was also
emotionally exhausted). Fortunately,
or unfortunately, Lacy Goosetree, as Manager -Marketing, and Bob
Sheeley as National Sales Manager were implementers.
Bob Sheeley assembled a national sales organization "Par
Excellence". It included
the likes of Ken Fisher (later of Prime Computer), Jim Pompa (to become a
Honeywell V.P,), Tom O'Rourke (founder of TYMSHARE), Warren Prince, Jim
Helm, Vic Casebolt (to become at one point President of Storage Tech. and
now V.P. -International Paper), Clint De Gabrielle (to become the Czar of
Computing for the State of Washington), Curt Hare (to become President of
TERAK and half a dozen other Silicon Valley ventures) and on and on
through a whole other host of outstanding capable people like Leo Mott
(who formed a Dallas based facilities management company), Vern Schatz,
Bill Duster, Paul Shapiro, Jay Kear (President of an Orange Co. software
firm), Dick Nosky, Pete Repenning, Gene Ringstad, Len Call, Bill Peake
-the list is twice as long. I've
only scratched the surface. The
legacy of the GE Computer Dept. is the later accomplishments of the people
who left. Unfortunately, they out-sold the capacity of the Computer
Department to produce, principally in the software and applications area.
In May 1961 Bob Sheeley and Lacy Goosetree, shortly after Lasher
received approval for the "Big Look", and planned earlier in
anticipation of the OK, held a national sales meeting.
This weeklong meeting was held at the Superstition Ho Hotel in
Apache Junction. Its purpose
was to put the GE brand on the above group, most of who had come from our
competitors. This up-beat
meeting with everything done very professionally and first class more than
accomplished its purpose. Everyone
who attended cherishes the experience and it is this group of people who
form the nucleus of the Computer Department Alumni.
Lasher was always successful in getting 570 to approve his
ambitious plans - but lost his courage in implementing them as the red ink
flowed. He would, as also did his successors, abort the plans
before they were fully implemented. This
created confusion. It
was impossible to justify "losses" to 570 when he himself was
aghast at them. It seemed
"flippant" to month after month explain larger than anticipated
losses by suggesting that we had a better month than anticipated.
(See the enclosed spreadsheets)
We had nearly 100% of the banking business (with the GE 225), which
proves the success of ERMA, a goodly chunk of the internal GE business and
were making sales for manufacturing applications based on the strong GE
manufacturing experience. However, many of these external sales were
"paper tigers" as far
as deliveries, applications and software capabilities
were concerned. You were not
the last computer salesman to learn that it was easier to sell a computer
that had yet to be built then to sell an existing one.
The obscured fact of the computer business at this time was that
IBM was essentially selling to themselves.
They had trained and placed the Data Processing Managers whose path
of progress was for IBM to place them in a better assignment with another
company. Their loyalties were to IBM and not the company that employed
them. IBM assisted them by
having most of the Fortune 500 companies pass Corporate Resolutions
forbidding the purchase of computers (for all the old familiar arguments)
thus eliminating the need for the DP mangers to bother with cumbersome
Appropriation Requests (and raising the cost of entry for competitors).
They also convinced upper management that Purchasing was incapable
of making procurement decisions in regard to computers. Only the DP Managers were capable of this. As a result, this
was a difficult market to crack, particularly when these facts were not
understood and marketing strategies and tactics were not developed to
counter them.
The consequence was that our customers, to a man, were mavericks. The ones with the courage to jump the IBM traces.
They extracted a price for their courage.
IBM and their DP Manager customers would enter into a mutual
conspiracy of silence if a particular program or piece of hardware was
late or failed to perform. On
the other hand, it was incumbent for our customers to alert their
management at the first sign of potential problems.
We built many customer files into what Bob Sheeley called
"monuments to negotiations".
(Speaking of which, it might interest you to know that the ERMA
contract was not finally executed until after the last system was
shipped.) IBM also very
effectual kept GE's upper management informed of the Computer Department's
problems.
I don't recall anything particularly dramatic or traumatic about
Clair Lasher's exodus. In my
memory, he just quietly slips out and is quietly replaced by ???. (Who was
so un-memorable that I can't remember his name).
I remember ??? as
being from the mold of old line GE General Managers.
A mild mannered, pipe smoking, graduate of the "Test"
program. He sat calmly and quietly in his office as the computer
business swirled around him. In
relatively short order he was named the General Manager of the Process
Computer Department, which was a natural fit.
Following this lamb, Van Aken came in roaring like a lion. Van
became very frustrated and confused when his roaring against the tide of
the computer business was to no avail.
He also became paranoid when GE's upper management would learn of
the Computer Department's problems from IBM before Van knew of them
himself. He would become even
more paranoid, emotional and irrational when Lou Rader, newly returned
from UNIVAC, replaced Harold Strickland and began forcing ex-UNIVAC people
on him.
Van
is now retired and living in Tempe looking relaxed, tanned, healthy and as
dapper as a Gentlemen's Quarterly model.
You should contact him for the story of his reign as GM of the
Computer Department.
The
first to go was Bob Sheeley when Lou Rader "suggested" an ex
UNIVAC salesman, Art Ashauer, for that position.
Art was likeable, easy going and relatively competent.
However, the sales force, which was fiercely loyal to Bob Sheeley
and most of whom were more competent and experienced than Art, were
astounded by the move. Rader's
next move replaced the well liked, competent and effective Tom O'Rourke
with Ted Green (also from UNIVAC) as the Western Regional manager.
The final straw, which destroyed probably the best sale force ever
assembled, was the replacement of Lacy Goosetree (who is also alive, well,
and active - you should contact him) with Vern Cooper from GE Supply.
Vern was articulate, imposing, vain, intimidating, incompetent,
stupid and naive. (I later
learned that he was
Herch Cross's son-in-law and the Computer Department
was just a temporary assignment on his "fast track".)
Vern Cooper's classic remark concerned the banking business.
He didn't think we were doing well in the business since we didn't
have any of the important New York banks and "whoever heard of
Security Pacific Bank (then #7) or Northwest Bancorp?".
The very closely-knit banking industry, which has a very active
grapevine, always watched us closely for any signs of wavering in our
support of them. Vern could
not understand why we had more salesmen at headquarters than in the field
and one of his first moves was to disband the headquarters industry
support groups and send them to the field.
The banking market was lost in one fell swoop when he disbanded the
banking support group. I was
at Pittsburgh National Bank (a good GE 225 customer) getting the final
documentation executed for the lease of two GE 400 systems the day this
move was announced. The bank
decided to wait to see what was happening and delayed executing the lease.
They ultimately went with Boroughs. I
was also in the meeting with Martin Marietta(sp?) when we were trying to
save the GE 600 installation with a number of non-green dollar concessions
such
as delayed starts on net lease rentals and etc.
totaling $3 million soft dollars. The
meeting ended when Vern, to show Charlie Lighthouser, then Executive V,P,
of Martin, that he was tougher than Charlie said, Take your $3 million
dollars and give me back my machines!".
When I interrupted to point out that the
concessions were in consideration of Martin keeping
the machines I was told to "shut up" that he knew what he was
doing. Charlie looked at me,
shrugged his shoulders and indicated that it was an offer he couldn't
refuse - and he didn't!
The follow on to ERMA with the B of A was a contest between two
"paper tigers". We
were proposing the not yet in production GE 600 system and IBM was
proposing a likewise situated upper model of the 360 series.
IBM ultimately "bought" the business but you will be
delighted to know that part of the price IBM paid was to pay the monthly
maintenance bills for ERMA for any months they were late in delivering.
For nearly 18 months IBM paid us the monthly bill of $250,000.
Van Aken was followed by John Hanstra from IBM.
This was a very un-GE like move (If it was engineered by Lou Rader,
he atoned for some of his above sins).
John, who had been responsible for the IBM 360 series, was very
affable, self confident, easy to talk to, and extremely knowledgeable
about the business. He
garnered immediate admiration and respect from one and all.
Unfortunately, he had hardly settled into the position before he
died in a crash of his two engine airplane
John was followed by Lou Wengert.
Wengert grew up in the financial function of X-Ray and became
General Manager of several GE large motor departments.
He came to us from Locomotive.
He also came in "roaring", but after Van Aken it seemed
like more of a "meow", particularly
when afterward he would smile like he didn't mean it.
He also became very emotional and irrational as had Van Aken.
I left sometime, maybe a year, after Lou arrived. (You will note
the lack of dates in this whole narrative - I just
can't recall them).
Shortly before I left the Department was split up into half a dozen
different Departments. As I
recall
Jack Vanderslice took over the Oklahoma operations.
I don't remember who the other GM's were.
Soon after the split up, Lou Wengert was promoted to V.P. of one of
the industrial groups. Stan Smith, replaced Lou Rader about the same time
that Wengert came aboard.
I had lunch with Lou Wengert, who is retired and living in
Carefree, AZ., several years after he left the Computer Department.
He told me that he had been appointed GM of the Computer Department
because of his manufacturing expertise and that he was ordered out to
phoenix to fix the manufacturing problem.
Sure enough there was a big manufacturing problem. After focusing
on this problem for nearly eighteen months he suddenly discovered that
this problem, as big as it was, paled in comparison to the engineering and
marketing problems, but it was too late.
I will end here. I
suspect that I have raised more questions then I have answered.
I'm sure that I have told you far more than I actually know!
I will give you time to digest this missive and will then
give you a call.
My very best regards,
PS I think that the only way the story will be
clarified is to get half a dozen of the knowledgeable people together so
that their individual recollections can trigger each other's recall.
***
May 10, 1993
Dear Barney,
The enclosed spreadsheets will illustrate the problems that the
rental business presented in the Computer Department financial statements.
The first Case is probably the most dramatic.
When Fred Borsh became President of the Company he let it be known
that the results of a study that he had made showed that GE had never been
successful in a business where they had less than 30% of the market. This
was particularly true in markets, such as computers, where there were few
competitors. He let it
be known that those Departments who could not demonstrate the ability to
capture 30% of their markets might be short lived.
Consequently, Clair planned the "Big Look" to see what it
would mean if the Computer Department aggressively pursued a plan to reach
30% of the computer market in 5 years.
This was in late 1960 and early 1961 and the 1966 computer market
was being estimated at $3 billion. (It
actually nearly doubled that amount.)
The Case I. enclosure ignores the real problems of achieving such
an objective but shows the impact of the rental business on the financial
results should such an eventuality be profitably achieved.
As you can see, huge losses are incurred - due to GE's bookkeeping-
even if the product’s sales and rentals are quite profitable by
themselves. I don't recall
the starting point, but the end result was to be an "if sold"
volume of $900 million in the 5th year.
Case II. Shows the
result of backing the projection down to 12.5% of the 5th year market.
This plan had a chance of being achievable and affordable even
though the numbers are still large and negative.
Defying the industry experience of 80% rental and 20% sales we
forecast 30% sales to improve the numbers.
Case III. This case was prepared to show the effect of changing the
percentage sold to 50%.
Case IV. This case shows what happens if you stop growing at some
point. You need to project
out farther then 10 years to end up in a "steady-state"
profitable position.
Case V. An extreme
case to show that the money comes flowing in if you cease shipments at
some point.
I recall at one point calculating that if we were to grow at more
then 12% a year that we would theoretically never book a profit.
This in a market easily growing at more than 25% a year.
Case II. approximates the "Big Look" that Clair had
approved. While it called for
a 12.5% market share we had to run like hell to obtain 7% or 8%.
However, this smaller percentage was a larger than planned volume
as the market grew much faster than forecast.
At the time I was preparing the forecasts for Clair I had to do
them manually. Each
projection took about 40 hours as I had to project each shipment month by
month and layer by layer. Who
knows how we may have been able to fine tune them strategically had we had
the "what if" capability of current spreadsheets.
As far as I am aware, neither Clair or anyone else had difficulty
in getting 570 to understand these projections when they were presented in
the "abstract" so to speak in a long range plan.
It was when the current month operating results actually reflected
these numbers did the lack of understanding suddenly
disappear.
The problem was that even though it was understood that success
would generate huge red numbers, for any one month it was difficult to
discern how much of the variance from plan was caused by success, how much
from a change in the sales/rental ratio and how much was the consequences
of favorable or unfavorable operating problems.
The problem was amplified out of all proportions by the three
months rolling forecasts, which I'm sure you remember.
The current month's result could vary by a $1 million or more
within days of submitting the forecast.
A customer for a $1million dollar system which we had forecast as
being "sold" would decide, usually the day of shipment (which
you know is always the last day of the month) to rent instead.
This would cause nearly a $1 million swing.
Such large swings in the matter of just several days severely
strained the creditability of the Computer Department's management with
570, even though they were completely beyond the control of management.
In answer to your question about 570's attitude toward the Computer
Department, I would sum it up by saying that they were always supportive
of the business and willing to invest in the big picture.
For many of the reasons demonstrated above, plus known operating
problems and IBM's input, they were not always
supportive of Computer Department management.
Best regards
***
May 11, 1993
Dear Barney,
Just a short note on my long view of the people involved in the GE
Computer Business and it's profitability.
Without diminishing the important contributions of many, many
people, there are only five who really made a difference.
You of course for initiating the venture against great odds.
Clair Lasher for his planning which got people thinking big.
Arnold Speilberg for bootlegging the GE 225
Bob Sheeley for assembling the sales force that created the forward
momentum.
It didn't make much difference who was involved after this.
All anyone could do was to try to hang onto the tiller as the
forces in the market place drove and buffeted the business. (Despite what other's egos might think - the market made most
of the decisions.)
Finally, Reg Jones for negotiating the very timely and profitable
sale to Honeywell.
I would argue that on an "if sold" basis the business was
always reasonably profitable. Gerald
Phillippi argued, legitimately, against the use of "if sold". His argument was that any small adjustment to the top
line of the operating statement fell right through to the southeast corner
where it is magnified. That
"ipso facto" we had not sold the rented systems and to have done
so would have likely required a reduction in selling price, a decrease in
volume, or both, resulting in either case in a reduction from the income
calculated on an "if sold" basis.
***
May 17, 1993
Dear Barney,
It was good talking to you today.
You have entered into an ambitious project - nothing new for you -
and I give you my best wishes and support.
If you haven't already done so, I suggest that you contact Bruce
Bruemmer at the Babbage Institute.
He has been gathering information, including attending one of the
Alumni meetings and interviewing many of the attendees, about the GE
computer business. Perhaps
the two of you could collaborate in this
effort.
In my long view everything that happened before the 1961 Second
First Annual Sales Meeting was prelude.
The first act curtain raises on this meeting.
You will be able to find a goodly number of people who stayed with
GE from this point through the sale to Honeywell.
(Many of the products and activities mentioned in this meeting were
suddenly concocted to meet the needs of the meeting, don't put too much
credence on anything presented there.)
I would contend - but neither long nor hard - that with the ERMA
deal in hand you would have found some engineer or engineers to execute
it. Only you can judge whether Bob Johnson was absolutely
essential to this project and should be on my "short list".
Lou Wengert will be able to fill you in on the sale of the Process
Computer Business, which he negotiated.
( He may be too embarrassed to mention the proposed sale to
Fairchild which garnered a lot of national publicity when it fell through.
Your local newspaper morgue or library should have it. Or you can
find it if you are "with it" and have
computer access to the various databases).
Manufacturing had to contend with the rapid transitions being made
in the industry from wire wrap, to printed circuits, through discrete
components, single sided, double sided boards, etc. to IC's.
I'm sure that these transitions, and the growth, were much more
rapid than 570 had ever seen before and, understandably, there were
attendant problems. Cy Statt
can ably fill you in on manufacturing.
About midnight on ( You can find the exact date from the Wall
Street Journal files) I took a break from running out the "Big
Look" numbers required to capture a 30% market share and went down to
the cafeteria for some coffee. I
picked up a copy of the Wall Street Journal that was lying on the table
and there
was Sarnouf (Sp?) claiming that RCA was going to be
number two in the computer industry in five years doing $1 billion a year
in sales! The same goal as
ours, but I had already concluded that GE could not finance such an
ambitious goal and that we would have to scale back drastically (even if
we could per chance achieve it operationally).
I went back upstairs and grabbed a copy of Moody's to look up RCA.
here was no way that Sarnouf could back up his claim.
RCA was in default on the interest on $50 million of debentures,
had nominal earnings, and I don't now recall but presumably wasn't paying
any dividends. The
stock price was down and it was certainly no time for them to go to market
for more money. HE COULDN'T
DO IT! This led me to analyze
our other competitors. IBM
was having problems at this particular juncture ( I believe they were
between the 1401 and the 360). Prudential
was balking at providing a previously scheduled take-down on a debenture
issue and was insisting on a higher interest rate.
I don't recall the status of our other competitors but obviously
none of them, except IBM, could do it either. I stayed up all night making
these analyses and showed them to Clair the first thing the next morning.
Clair incorporated these analyses in his presentation to the
Executive Office of the scaled down "Big Look".
It was reported back to me, I don't now recall whether directly by
Lasher or through McCombs ( and a lot of creditability rests on this
question) that Ralph Cordiner called in John Lockton and Gerald
Phillippi to get their views on the competitive
analysis and whether GE could finance the venture.
In those days John Lockton thought that GE could finance the world
if necessary and gave an unqualified yes. As reported, Cordiner then
stated, "Up until now I saw no reason for GE to be in the computer
business as we had no unique contribution to make.
It is essentially an assembly business, not manufacturing, so we
can't capitalize on those skills, we had no unique technology as the
engineers are freely exchanged, and we would be up against reputedly the
greatest marketing organization. However,
I now see it as a table stakes game and we have the stakes." And thus the go ahead.
Ultimately the basis for the decision proved to be wrong.
It was not the cash required but the earnings impact of the rental
business on the widows and orphan that own GE that proved it wrong.
In my financial naiveté of the time, I thought that RCA had no
wriggle room. However,
Sarnouf took a gamble and called the debentures, which were in default.
They converted to equity and I don't know what he would have done
if they had opted for the cash. Next,
while we were involved in the "mating dance" with Bull, he was
busily selling them $50 million worth of computers on a letter of credit.
You know what a boost an outright sale like this gives to the financials
of a rental business. It
seemed to me at the time, and still does, that his approach to Bull was
far superior to ours!
To me the Bull episode is an example of what happens when you shunt
operating managers aside into staff positions without portfolios.
They run around getting into mischief.
I think I may have now exhausted my pertinent recollections.
Good luck in trying to separate fact from fiction in your efforts.
PS: An
amusing episode about Van Aken concerns his first staff meeting which he
called for eight o'clock on a Monday morning.
Promptly at eight o'clock he closed and locked the conference room
door. This left Lacy
Goosetree and Ken Geiser pounding on the door to be let in.
(There was no relenting). The
word quickly spread to the troops and my poor secretary, who religiously
punched in three minutes early,
came in in tears the next morning when she was nearly
fifteen minutes late. She had
been caught in the biggest traffic
jam that the Black Canyon Highway had ever experienced as everyone tried
to get to work on time.
***
May 17, 1993
Mr. H. R. Barney Oldfield, Jr.
716 Wood Lane
Sarasota FL 34237
Dear Barney,
A further comment about Haller's "NO!, NO!, NO!".
As I forthrightly stated, and you have now confirmed, you could
never hear the word "no". A
rare attribute possessed by only the most superlative of promoters and
salesmen.
This meeting, which was about the Appropriation Request to expand
the Microwave Laboratory fourfold to build ERMA, was not attended by
either me or George Trotter. It
was reported to me by Russ Krapf who, in contrast to Ken McCombs, was a
good reporter.
I prefer his version as expanding the Microwave Laboratory at that
time made no sense in light of the mission of the Laboratories Department
and Haller's desire to create a computer laboratory at Penn State.
In addition, the expansion didn't happen.
PS:
The reason we were so successful with the banks is because they had
not opted for the punched card and had no entrenched IBM DP Managers.
We had a level playing field.
PSS:
The aborted negotiation for the sale of the Process Computer
business to Fairchild was between Gene White for Fairchild and Lou Wengert
for GE. Subsequently, Gene
became President of Amdahl and is now Chairman Emeritus.
When Gene was appointed President, he interviewed me to be CFO.
In discussing the opportunity with Lou, he was about as
uncomplimentary about Gene as one can be about someone.
When it later became apparent that Gene was going to be successful,
and not fail as miserably as Lou had predicted, Lou then cottoned up to
him when they served together on the board of Don Oglesby's Three Phoenix
Company. (I was not offered
the job and also predicted his failure when he told me that Amdalh's big
advantage was that since they were "plug compatible" with IBM at
a lower price they didn't need to spend much money on sales &
marketing.)
***
May 26, 1993
Dear Barney,
The importance of ERMA as the machine that launched the banks into
the use of computers and GE into the computer business, can not be
exaggerated. However, don't over emphasize its importance as a product.
It required considerable redesign into the GE 210 to make it a
commercially feasible product. The GE 210, in turn, was quickly obsoleted by the GE 225 at
less than half the cost.
Time-sharing is the principal legacy of the Computer Department. It was made possible, fittingly enough, by another bootlegged
product - the DATANET 30 - which married the widely diverse technology of
computers and communications. It
led to the present net-working of the world.
It also put computer terminals on peoples desks and promoted
distributed data processing and started a process which has terminated in
the personal computer.
Bill Bridge did the hardware design and Dick Smith and Don Knight,
working with Dartmouth's John Kemeny, helped develop the BASIC language to
make it "user friendly". The
first system was installed at Dartmouth. (A GE 225 with the DATANET 30)
My best as usual,
PS: You
keep requesting me to identify the key problems.
This is difficult. There
were significant problems in almost every functional area most of the
time! The majority of them
were "good problems" - those that are caused by success. These problems were caused by the unprecedented growth
that stretched and unbalanced all resources, including the human ones, to
the breaking point. We
went through an ungodly number of good people.
***
June 6, 1993
Dear Barney,
Thanks for the Forbes article.
I was always amused when outside sources quoted and interpreted,
second hand, GE's computer business numbers.
We who were compiling them didn't know what they were or how to
interpret or explain them!
Market numbers were equally as illusive.
Dollar volumes contained a mix of sales, rentals, maintenance and
software. Counting
systems, or main frames, did not take into account a great disparity in
size and peripheral mix. I'm
sure you get the picture. (We,
at one point, had a District Manager in Kansas
City -whose name I of course can't remember- who
prided himself on knowing where all the computer installations were in his
district. He thought he knew
them all only to find, when he hired a knowledgeable ex IBM sales manager,
that his list included less than half of the IBM installations.)
The Forbes Article states that GE's management did not contribute
to, or comment on, the article. Forbes
thus was relying exclusively on ex-employees who can not be expected to be
particularly complementary. It
would take a lengthy essay, with contributions from many more
knowledgeable than I, to rectify the impression left by this article.
It is obvious that Herb Grosch got his two cents worth in.
The comments about GE's management philosophy and lack of computer
industry knowledge is almost a Grosch quote.
If the quote from Bob Johnson is accurate, it confirms my
recollection of him as more of a "laboratory type", "state
of the art" engineer than a product designer.
Lasher was 100% right in dropping the W, X, Y and Z line. It would
have been sheer folly to try to take on IBM across a broad spectrum of
their line when we were running like hell trying to keep up in our several
niche markets.
The GE 600 product line encountered all the usual problems involved
in trying to convert a military project into a commercially practicable
product.
To put the Forbes article in perspective it must be recognized that
we were starting nearly five years behind (May 1956 - May 1961). While we were concentrating on ERMA and the NCR 304 and then
suffering through the process computers only period, our competitors in
the general purpose computer business were ramping up very rapidly.
When we got the green light, we had to ramp up one hell of a lot
faster just to stay even (Lasher was appointed Acting-General Manager to
succeed you with instructions to complete the ERMA and NCR 304 programs
and then to limit the department's scope to process computers.
The Forbes article hints at this).
I wouldn't read too much into Lasher's leaving.
My sense is that he put into motion something neither he, nor
anyone else, could control. He
was too nice a guy and the job rapidly out grew him - and many others.
It was already too big for Van Aken by the time he came aboard.
Many jobs outgrew people almost as fast as they accepted them.
My reply to people who complained that a new manager didn't know
the business was, "Good! The
business is a different business today than it was yesterday and it will
be a different business tomorrow. We
don't need people who know the business as it was yesterday.".
I'm glad you contacted Chuck Ettinger, though he is somewhat
controversial, as he is the only section manager to span the Lasher-Van
Aken period. In addition, he
was appointed (by Stan Smith I believe) General Manager of the Small
Computer Operation which included Olivetti.
You should ask Vern Schatz for his poem on the history of the
Computer Department.
I do not have a copy of the Metcalf or other reports.
It's interesting that we didn't place any historic importance on
them at the time. WGBH tried
unsuccessfully to find them - but they couldn't find you either. Someone told me that George Metcalf is still alive, he
might have a copy.
My
best,
PS: I
need a time line. The only
dates that I'm sure of is the November 1956 move to Phoenix, and the May
1961 Sales meeting. Do you
have a list of corroborated dates? I
thought you left in 1959 not 1958 as Forbes says.
This would put the "Big Look" approval much earlier than
I recall. What were the dates
of the changes in General Managers?
***
July 19, 1993
Dear Barney,
I am 100% with Lacy re Hersh Cross and what he did to Van Aken. I would be as charitable as Lacy towards Van except
that Van's attitude as a 100% company man made him shoulder the full
responsibility rather than letting on that the firings were not totally
his decisions. This
posture of his figured into the
O'Rourke situation.
I can readily believe that the GE600 schedule was shortened by 12
months over that planned by the engineers and software people.
As I have previously indicated,
the market forces were irresistible and this accelerated schedule
was likely required to compete with other "paper tigers" - or
quit the game. (I
recounted in an earlier letter how IBM was 18 months
late in delivering the system to the B of A that had beaten out the
GE600.)
I would love to see a copy of what Lacy has on the June 1960
"Big Look" presentation.
This date puts it about 6 months earlier than my poor
recollection. Does George
Metcalf have a copy of the Metcalf Report?
I'm sure that Helmut Sassenfeld and Dick Lemon will get back to
you. The time sharing
service business was not, as you put it, "taken away from the
Computer Department". By
this time the Computer Department had been broken up into several
Departments and a number of operating sections and was now the Information
Systems Division. I was
gone by the time this move was made, but my guess is that one of the
reasons for the move was to change a large user of the Division's products
into a large customer. At the
time of the sale to Honeywell this time sharing service business was using
well in excess of $1 Billion worth of computer products. It may also have been to position it out of the sale to
Honeywell.
As indicated above there were two aspects of the time sharing
business. (a) the sale of timesharing hardware and (b) the sale of time
sharing services. The
saga with O'Rourke concerns the former.
As I understand it, Van Aken had two sons neither of whom turned
out to be role models. To
compensate, Van "adopted" two people as the sons he wished he
had had. One was Chuck
Thompson, now an Executive V.P. of Motorola and the other was Tom
O'Rourke. They socialized
together, went on golfing trips together and etc. When Rader returned from UNIVAC he brought Ted Green with him
and gave him his choice of marketing regions.
Ted chose the Western Region which O'Rourke was managing.
Van would rather have cut off his right arm than to replace Tom,
but with the attitude as indicated above, he did it and never told
Tom that it was other than his (Van's) decision.
Once the move was made he wanted nothing more to do with Tom. I was not aware of this posture until later when I
inadvertently became directly involved.
After Tom was replaced he decided to resign and to go into the time
sharing service business. He
came to see me to help him with his business plan.
(When the Department was split up into several operating sections
each Finance sub-section manager was assigned as a financial counselor to
an operating section. I had
been assigned to Helmut Sassenfeld and thus had some experience and
insight into the business.) We
prepared the business plan and five year projection for TYMSHARE on my
living room floor in Carefree.
I then introduced him to Tom Clausen (later Chairman of B of A) who
at that time was managing the National Accounts for the Southern part of
the B of A and also had an SBIC under his control.
He arranged for his SBIC (which was managed by George Quist and was
later spun out of the bank and became the investment banking firm of
Hambrech and Quist) to make an investment of $250,000 in Tom's company.
Tom then negotiated an order to rent a GE235 timesharing system.
Van was aware of these negotiations but apparently had anticipated
turning the order down for credit reasons.
When that day came Tom said "but Snively has already approved
the credit". Van has no
master when it comes to "chewing" someone out and I got the full
treatment when I was called to his office.
I further compounded my error when, during one of his more
histrionic moments, I said
" You mean that the B of A is not a good credit?".
This led to an unbelievable explosion in the midst of which he
declared that it was a stupid business
decision to rent GE235's so near the end of the
product life cycle and that they were only to made available for cash
sale. "Did Tom have
enough money to buy one?" The
answer was "no" and the meeting ended on that note.
There were immediate repercussions to this policy change as both
Ford Motor Company and Chrysler had GE235's on order to rent.
Both had IBM instigated policies prohibiting their purchase of
computers and both threatened anti-trust suits on the assumption that the
policy was an attempt for Helmut's operation to monopolize the business.
It took a lot of negotiating to work
out of this problem. (I.L.
Stevenson -if he has not suffered too many infirmities- can fill you in on
these legal maneuverings.)
Meanwhile, Arnold Spielberg had gone to work as V.P.Engineering for
Max Palevsky(sp?) at SDS. Tom
approached them to design a time sharing machine for him.
They agreed to do it if Tom could find a customer for a second
machine. Tom got Jim Pontius
of Comdisco in Chicago to place an order with him and SDS proceeded to
design a machine. TYMSHARE
ultimately purchased a large number of timesharing systems from SDS.
The GE235 market never took off.
But it really didn't make much difference.
By this time the business was being pulled by the market for the
GE600 systems. The banking
business was no longer such a major factor that Vern Cooper's thoughtless
killing of it made a substantial difference and the time sharing hardware
market was soon to be satisfied by the GE600.
My best as usual,
***
October 18, 1993
Dear Barney,
I enjoyed your Prelude. The motto of the Alumni group should be
"it was one hell of a ride"!
(page IV "Frank Walsh" should be Jack Walsh.)
Tom Watson was a mover and shaker in the same circles with Ralph
Cordiner but IBM was not GE's best customer as assumed by Bob Johnson - to
the contrary, GE was IBM's biggest customer.
IBM bought some vacuum tubes and fractional horsepower motors but
not in the significant volume of other radio and TV and appliance
manufacturers. The Federal Government was GE's "biggest" customer.
The misinformed notion that IBM was GE's "best" customer
seems to be endemic among the engineers.
We did bid on the successor to ERMA (Perhaps not with a
"responsive proposal" and I have a vague recollection that the
bid specs were written in IBM's favor).
I can't place the time frame - but we bid the 600 system.
Bob Johnson would have left by this time.
Lacy Goosetree may still have been involved -
check with him.
Al Zipf had moved up in the Bank and I suspected that IBM had
managed to infiltrate the Data Processing operation.
They would have had to justify their selection of IBM to the
rarefied atmosphere that Al Zipf now occupied as being due to "GE's
unresponsiveness".
IBM was still stung by your success in getting ERMA. They could not
afford to lose the biggest bank in the country a second time.
The goodly sum I mentioned was the $250,000 a month for the
maintenance of ERMA that IBM had to pay us each month of the 18 months of
their delay in getting the successor up and running.
Have you communicated with Reggie Jones?
You must have been surprised to learn that he was behind you all
the way! I have no idea where
he was during the early days of the computer business.
Phillippi was an early staunch supported and ally of the Computer
Department.
To my knowledge Jack Walsh was never anywhere near the computer
business. His biographer
would have had to rely heavily on the same media stuff with which we are
familiar. I agree that GE was
reluctant to sell businesses but they never hesitated to liquidate them!
You picked up on the contradiction about acquisitions.
However, GE was always constrained by anti-trust considerations
(and a not invented here attitude) from making acquisitions.
As a result, GE had limited experience in negotiating or managing
them.
Bill Bridge and Clint DeGabrielle can personally give you the
DATANET 30 story.
THE BUILTMORE MEETING.
I don't recall who requested the Builtmore meeting but Phillippi
(sp?) had been instructed to drop everything else and concentrate fully on
the measurement problem which was confusing management about the Computer
Department's P & L.
The attendees, in addition to Phillippi, were George Smith (and one
other whose name I can't recall) from Accounting Research Services, ??
McCarthy from Tax Accounting Service (plus as I recall a tax lawyer from
legal), Murray Furgeson the leasing expert and GECC Board member from
Credit & Collection Services, John Stanger, President of GECC's
Leasing Company and Dewey Mehew, Treasurer of GECC.
Ken McCombs, Tom Hage and I represented the Computer Department.
These, with a few exceptions, were all very intelligent and
imaginative people. I do not
believe that there was any alternative or option that was neglected in the
wide-ranging discussions over three days of seclusion without
interruptions.
John Stanger, who was at heart a "peddler", salivated
over the possibility of GECC handling all the rentals and leases.
Dewey Mehew pointed out that CECC was organized under the banking
laws of The State of New York and as such would be in violation of banking
regulation "Y" if they entered into non-pay-out rentals and
leases. McCarthy discussed
the possibility of the consolidation of GECC with GE, which would
eliminate the assumed arms length advantage in any event.
We were promoting my scheme of "POLO" which involved
splitting the Computer Department into a Product Operation that would sell
to a Leasing Operation. The
issue here became the question of transfer price.
McCombs tested everybody's sharpness by making foolish statements.
Tommy Hage was a nervous wreck trying to figure out who was winning
so that he could be on the winning side.
Needless to say the discussions were far ranging and exhaustive.
I have previously related Phillippis’s summation.
My best as always,
PS:
I suspect that GE's top management was frequently cautioned by the
tax lawyers about making public statements explaining "losses"
in the computer business as tax shelter.
***
October
28, 1993
Dear Barney,
Very early on (and prior to the Builtmore meeting - which was
principally involved with accounting issues) we were imaginatively and
creatively structuring "full pay-out net leases" which we could
book as "sales" -see note below. These leases were attractive to
our banking and utility customers. I also established early relationships
with the first personal property leasing companies - Al Zises of Bankers
Leasing and Pod Boothe of Boothe Leasing.
A little later I established an exclusive relationship with Lease
Financing Corporation who administered a number of tax sheltered leasing
partnerships set up by Ollie Vanderbilt.
Our competitors could not meet the attractive and flexible terms we
were able to offer the banks and other customers with this program.
With the advent of the GE 400, working with the principals of Lease
Financing Corp., we structured a plan for third party financing of
intermediate term non-pay-out rentals which GE could book as "sales'.
This was the 4-5-6 Plan, named for it's four, five and six year
terms. This was in the era of
the 8 year
investment tax credit and 8 year net-net leases.
This was an extremely complex plan which required the establishment
of an arms length third party -Systems Capital Corporation (SCC). SCC
provided part of the risk capital -raised through a public offering
underwritten by Blair & Company, Ollie Vanderbilt's investment banking
firm. The senior debt for the
firm portion of the leases was furnished by AEtna (with the commercial
banks warehousing them to a $10million size).
Ollie's tax sheltered limited partnerships provided leverage on
this debt to generate a low cost of funds and some risk capital.
This program was relatively successful by itself, but it was highly
successful in getting the customers to realistically assess the useful
life of their installations and many were thus persuaded to purchase or
lease (not rent).
Obtaining approval of this
program within GE was difficult to say the least. To have to admit that
there was something they couldn't do between the financial resources of GE
and GE Credit was traumatic indeed. The
full power of the GE Credit Corp.'s management descended on me a number of
times before the program was implemented. But the problem was too big to
ignore - and they couldn't provide a better alternative.
With GE's acquiescence I joined Systems Capital Corp.
The ultimate beneficiary of this program was Nate Norris.
Ollie Vanderbuilt called me one day in great distress after one of
the banking customers, near the end of the rental term, had called
inquiring for his address in order to return three GE 400's.
I informed him that Nate Norris had just begun making a
market in used GE 400's and gave him Nate's number.
Ollie did not have to clean out his carriage house and Nate got an
inexpensive supply of product! (Nate
ultimately sold his company for $6,million - $4 million in cash and a
note. He later got it back
when the buyer defaulted on the note.)
Too bad you and I lost contact.
In 1970 I started the Snively Financial Organization to handle
short term rentals. I'm sure
we could have provided you a better program than Trans Union Leasing Corp.
did.
I have only interesting personal recollections of Herb Grosch. I don't recall anything directly relating to the business,
except his obtaining the Huntsville contract. In my memory, he wasn't
around very long. His
"modus operandi" was to operate as a shop steward.
He had his programmers convinced that he and only he stood between
them and management. That
without him they would be subjected to all kinds of indignities, such as
coming to work on time, committing to completion dates, budgets and etc. I believe that Hal Norris spent some time in Herb's operation
and might have some comments.
My best as always,
Note: The
Company-wide task force that both Lacy Goosetree (from the Communications
Department) and I served on in late 1956 to early 1958 issued two
definitive volumes on leasing. One relating to the Lessor and the other to
the Lessee. These extensive
reports anticipated the FASB and IRS rulings by nearly 10 years.
We were too smart for our own good.
While we were smugly anticipating the future FASB, IRS
and SEC rulings, others such as Memorex, Storage Technologies and
Data Products were furiously playing by the then existing rules.
***
December 21, 1993
Dear Barney,
THE BEST KEPT SECRET OF THE COMPUTER INDUSTRY
General Electric's financial success in computers!
GE made a "cash-less" entry into the business when
progress payments from the B of A for ERMA and NCR for the 304 created
positive cash flows for the first two years.
This was followed by years of large "tax shelter" created
by GE's bookkeeping for the rental of
computers.
Then a profitable sale of the hardware business, structured such
that there was no recapture of the tax deferments.
Finally, continuing large profits from the huge time-sharing and
networking business that it retained.
Merry Christmas and Happy Holidays,
***
January 10, 1995
Dear Barney,
I am up to Part IV in my review of the book.
I remain impressed with your intuition about conversations that you
weren't party to and the captivating flow of the book.
Enclosed are copies of the pages that I have made editing changes
or etc. Don't spoil the flow
of the story if incorporating any of these suggestions does so - I
appreciate the need for a measure of poetic license.
Most of the corrections are self explanatory but I expand on some
of them below:
Page III. If there was
an award for you, don't be too modest to mention it.
If not, it's because you "disappeared" and no one knew
what had happened to you.
Page 4. They were
called Product Scope, not Product Charters.
Product Charter nay be a better understood term for non GE people.
By the same token, outsiders think the Computer Department is the
DP operation - Division is a better understood term.
However, substituting it in this saga would lead to no end of
confusion. Do you require
editorial consistency?
Page 30. At one point,
when we were trying to extend the ERMA derivatives to the smaller banks, I
lobbied long and hard to market them at x cents per items processed.
The banks had a "rule of thumb" that it cost them $.03
per item. (No one was able to
tell me where the number came from - but they believed it.)
I figured we could get the system in at low volume and grow as the
bank grew. Replacements would
be at our option as a cost reduction rather than the bank decision based
on competitive activities.
Page 35. Electronic
Park in the mid-fifties:
Bldg. #1 Administration
Bldg. #2 Cafeteria
Bldg. #3 Electronics Laboratory and Materials & Processes
Laboratory.
Bldg. #4 Power plant and maintenance
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